Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Analysis




Unemployment Rate


Geopolitical Events


Leading U.S. Economic Indicators


Producer Price Index (PPI)

Measure of price changes in the manufacturing sector

Measures average changes in selling prices received by domestic producers in the manufacturing, mining, agriculture, and electric utility industries

Core PPI is measured without the Energy Products due to their volatility
Consumer Confidence

Monthly survey of 5000 households

Reflects changes in consumption patterns

Index changes of at least five points are considered significant

The Federal Reserve pays close attention to Consumer Confidence when determining interest rates

Housing Starts

Measures the No.of residential units on which construction has begun each month

Slowing home sales can be a leading indicator of a coming recession
Durable Goods

Durable Goods Orders measure new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods

Orders are believed to be a leading indicator of activity in the manufacturing sector because manufacturers need orders before increasing production

Lagging U.S. Economic Indicators


Gross Domestic Product

GDP indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing (or shrinking)

The sum of all goods and services produced either by domestic or foreign companies

Considered the broadest indicator of economic output and growth
Industrial Production

It is a chain-weighted measure of the change in the production of the nation's factories, mines and utilities

Measure of industrial capacity and available resources among factories, utilities and mines are being used

Initial Jobless Claims

Reflects the number of claims filed for state unemployment benefits in the previous week

Increases reflect slowing job growth, decreases reflect accelerating growth
Nonfarm Payrolls

The most closely followed economic statistic

Provides the most concrete evidence of whether the US is creating jobs
Retail Sales

Measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade throughout the nation

It is the timeliest indicator of broad consumer spending patterns

Major International Economic Indicators


German Industrial Production

Reflects industrial output of Europe's largest economy, important leading indicator of Europe's economic well being

It is of highest importance
German Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Provides an assessment of the current and upcoming economic climate

Derived from the feedback of over 7,000 German Business Leaders

The German Consumer Price Index influences the European economy and also the policies of the European Central Bank (ECB)


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